Gastos_casa %>%
dplyr::select(-Tiempo,-link) %>%
dplyr::select(fecha, gasto, monto, gastador,obs) %>% tail(30) %>%
knitr::kable(format = "markdown", size=12)
| fecha | gasto | monto | gastador | obs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/5/2023 | Parafina | 19788 | Tami | NA |
| 27/5/2023 | Electricidad | 49600 | Andrés | NA |
| 27/5/2023 | Comida | 76142 | Tami | NA |
| 31/5/2023 | Netflix | 5940 | Tami | NA |
| 3/6/2023 | Comida | 104031 | Tami | NA |
| 3/6/2023 | Comida | 8475 | Tami | NA |
| 11/6/2023 | Comida | 14377 | Andrés | NA |
| 16/6/2023 | Diosi | 19330 | Tami | Antiparasitario petsu |
| 17/6/2023 | Diosi | 15980 | Tami | Arena Petsu |
| 17/6/2023 | Comida | 49459 | Tami | Supermercado |
| 22/6/2023 | VTR | 22000 | Tami | NA |
| 24/6/2023 | Comida | 51345 | Tami | NA |
| 29/6/2023 | Enceres | 28352 | Tami | Incoludido (confort y detergente) |
| 30/6/2023 | Comida | 6863 | Andrés | choritos etc |
| 30/6/2023 | Electricidad | 49877 | Andrés | enel |
| 30/6/2023 | Agua | 12706 | Andrés | NA |
| 1/7/2023 | Comida | 48400 | Andrés | de la ostia |
| 2/7/2023 | Comida | 70135 | Tami | Supermercado |
| 2/7/2023 | Parafina | 19418 | Tami | NA |
| 4/7/2023 | Comida | 12000 | Andrés | nueces y almendras 500 gr |
| 6/7/2023 | Gas | 68950 | Andrés | lipigas |
| 8/7/2023 | Agua | 12706 | Andrés | NA |
| 8/7/2023 | Comida | 57693 | Tami | Supermercado |
| 9/7/2023 | correo | 8000 | Andrés | correos de chile raul miranda |
| 9/7/2023 | mouse | 51980 | Andrés | NA |
| 9/7/2023 | lamina | 13800 | Andrés | NA |
| 12/7/2023 | Comida | 26780 | Andrés | NA |
| 12/7/2023 | Netflix | 11880 | Tami | Netflix junio y julio 2023 |
| 31/3/2019 | Comida | 9000 | Andrés | NA |
| 8/9/2019 | Comida | 24588 | Andrés | Super Lider |
#para ver las diferencias depués de la diosi
Gastos_casa %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(gastador=ifelse(gastador=="Andrés",1,0)) %>%
dplyr::group_by(gastador, fecha,.drop = F) %>%
dplyr::summarise(gasto_media=mean(monto,na.rm=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(treat=ifelse(fecha>"2019-W26",1,0)) %>%
#dplyr::mutate(fecha_simp=lubridate::week(fecha)) %>%#después de diosi. Junio 24, 2019
dplyr::mutate(gastador_nombre=plyr::revalue(as.character(gastador), c("0" = "Tami", "1"="Andrés"))) %>%
assign("ts_gastos_casa_week_treat", ., envir = .GlobalEnv)
gplots::plotmeans(gasto_media ~ gastador_nombre, main="Promedio de gasto por gastador", data=ts_gastos_casa_week_treat,ylim=c(0,75000), xlab="", ylab="")
par(mfrow=c(1,2))
gplots::plotmeans(gasto_media ~ gastador_nombre, main="Antes de Diosi", data=ts_gastos_casa_week_treat[ts_gastos_casa_week_treat$treat==0,], xlab="", ylab="", ylim=c(0,70000))
gplots::plotmeans(gasto_media ~ gastador_nombre, main="Después de Diosi", data=ts_gastos_casa_week_treat[ts_gastos_casa_week_treat$treat==1,], xlab="", ylab="",ylim=c(0,70000))
library(ggiraph)
library(scales)
#if( requireNamespace("dplyr", quietly = TRUE)){
gg <- Gastos_casa %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(gastador=ifelse(gastador=="Andrés",1,0)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha_simp=tsibble::yearweek(fecha)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha_week=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(treat=ifelse(fecha_week>"2019 W26",1,0)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(gastador_nombre=plyr::revalue(as.character(gastador), c("0" = "Tami", "1"="Andrés"))) %>%
# dplyr::mutate(week=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "week"))))%>%
#dplyr::mutate(fecha_week= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha_week, c("%Y-W%V"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::group_by(gastador_nombre, fecha_simp) %>%
dplyr::summarise(monto_total=sum(monto)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(tooltip= paste0(substr(gastador_nombre,1,1),"=",round(monto_total/1000,2))) %>%
ggplot(aes(hover_css = "fill:none;")) +#, ) +
#stat_summary(geom = "line", fun.y = median, size = 1, alpha=0.5, aes(color="blue")) +
geom_line(aes(x = fecha_simp, y = monto_total, color=as.factor(gastador_nombre)),size=1,alpha=.5) +
ggiraph::geom_point_interactive(aes(x = fecha_simp, y = monto_total, color=as.factor(gastador_nombre),tooltip=tooltip),size = 1) +
#geom_text(aes(x = fech_ing_qrt, y = perc_dup-0.05, label = paste0(n)), vjust = -1,hjust = 0, angle=45, size=3) +
# guides(color = F)+
sjPlot::theme_sjplot2() +
geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2019-06-24"),linetype = "dashed") +
labs(y="Gastos (en miles)",x="Semanas y Meses", subtitle="Interlineado, incorporación de la Diosi; Azul= Tami; Rojo= Andrés") + ggtitle( "Figura 4. Gastos por Gastador") +
scale_y_continuous(labels = f <- function(x) paste0(x/1000)) +
scale_color_manual(name = "Gastador", values= c("blue", "red"), labels = c("Tami", "Andrés")) +
scale_x_yearweek(date_breaks = "1 month", minor_breaks = "1 week", labels=scales::date_format("%m/%y")) +
theme(axis.text.x = element_text(vjust = 0.5,angle = 35), legend.position='bottom')+
theme(
panel.border = element_blank(),
panel.grid.major = element_blank(),
panel.grid.minor = element_blank(),
axis.line = element_line(colour = "black")
)
# x <- girafe(ggobj = gg)
# x <- girafe_options(x = x,
# opts_hover(css = "stroke:red;fill:orange") )
# if( interactive() ) print(x)
#}
tooltip_css <- "background-color:gray;color:white;font-style:italic;padding:10px;border-radius:10px 20px 10px 20px;"
#ggiraph(code = {print(gg)}, tooltip_extra_css = tooltip_css, tooltip_opacity = .75 )
x <- girafe(ggobj = gg)
x <- girafe_options(x,
opts_zoom(min = 1, max = 3), opts_hover(css =tooltip_css))
x
plot<-Gastos_casa %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha_week=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(month=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "month"))))%>%
dplyr::group_by(month)%>%
dplyr::summarise(gasto_total=sum(monto)/1000) %>%
ggplot2::ggplot(aes(x = month, y = gasto_total)) +
geom_point()+
geom_line(size=1) +
sjPlot::theme_sjplot2() +
geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2019-06-24"),linetype = "dashed") +
geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2019-03-23"),linetype = "dashed", color="red") +
labs(y="Gastos (en miles)",x="Meses/Año", subtitle="Interlineado, incorporación de la Diosi") +
ggtitle( "Figura. Suma de Gastos por Mes") +
scale_x_date(breaks = "1 month", minor_breaks = "1 month", labels=scales::date_format("%m/%y")) +
theme(axis.text.x = element_text(vjust = 0.5,angle = 45))
plotly::ggplotly(plot)
plot2<-Gastos_casa %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha_week=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(day=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "day"))))%>%
dplyr::group_by(day)%>%
summarise(gasto_total=sum(monto)/1000) %>%
ggplot2::ggplot(aes(x = day, y = gasto_total)) +
geom_line(size=1) +
sjPlot::theme_sjplot2() +
geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2019-06-24"),linetype = "dashed") +
geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2020-03-23"),linetype = "dashed", color="red") +
labs(y="Gastos (en miles)",x="Meses/Año", subtitle="Interlineado, incorporación de la Diosi") +
ggtitle( "Figura. Suma de Gastos por Día") +
scale_x_date(breaks = "1 month", minor_breaks = "1 week", labels=scales::date_format("%m/%y")) +
theme(axis.text.x = element_text(vjust = 0.5,angle = 45))
plotly::ggplotly(plot2)
tsData <- Gastos_casa %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha_week=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(day=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "day"))))%>%
dplyr::group_by(day)%>%
summarise(gasto_total=sum(monto))%>%
dplyr::mutate(covid=case_when(day>as.Date("2019-06-02")~1,TRUE~0))%>%
dplyr::mutate(covid=case_when(day>as.Date("2020-03-10")~covid+1,TRUE~covid))%>%
dplyr::mutate(covid=as.factor(covid))%>%
data.frame()
tsData_gastos <-ts(tsData$gasto_total, frequency=7)
mstsData_gastos <- forecast::msts(Gastos_casa$monto, seasonal.periods=c(7,30))
tsData_gastos = decompose(tsData_gastos)
#plot(tsData_Santiago, title="Descomposición del número de casos confirmados para Santiago")
forecast::autoplot(tsData_gastos, main="Descomposición de los Gastos Diarios")+
theme_bw()+ labs(x="Weeks")
tsdata_gastos_trend<-cbind(tsData,trend=as.vector(tsData_gastos$trend))%>% na.omit()
#tsData_gastos$trend
#Using the inputted variables, a Type-2 Sum Squares ANCOVA Lagged Dependent Variable model is fitted which estimates the difference in means between interrupted and non-interrupted time periods, while accounting for the lag of the dependent variable and any further specified covariates.
#Typically such analyses use Auto-regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models to handle the serial dependence of the residuals of a linear model, which is estimated either as part of the ARIMA process or through a standard linear regression modeling process [9,17]. All such time series methods enable the effect of the event to be separated from general trends and serial dependencies in time, thereby enabling valid statistical inferences to be made about whether an intervention has had an effect on a time series.
#it uses Type-2 Sum Squares ANCOVA Lagged Dependent Variable model
#ITSA model da cuenta de observaciones autocorrelacionadas e impactos dinámicos mediante una regresión de deltas en rezagados. Una vez que se incorporan en el modelo, se controlan.
#residual autocorrelation assumptions
#TSA allows the model to account for baseline levels and trends present in the data therefore allowing us to attribute significant changes to the interruption
#RDestimate(all~agecell,data=metro_region,cutpoint = 21)
tsdata_gastos_trend<-cbind(tsData,trend=as.vector(tsData_gastos$trend))%>% na.omit()
itsa_metro_region_quar2<-
its.analysis::itsa.model(time = "day", depvar = "trend",data=tsdata_gastos_trend,
interrupt_var = "covid",
alpha = 0.05,no.plots = F, bootstrap = TRUE, Reps = 10000, print = F)
print(itsa_metro_region_quar2)
## [[1]]
## [1] "ITSA Model Fit"
##
## $aov.result
## Anova Table (Type II tests)
##
## Response: depvar
## Sum Sq Df F value Pr(>F)
## interrupt_var 6.7886e+08 2 7.0261 0.001 ***
## lag_depvar 8.4271e+10 1 1744.3815 <2e-16 ***
## Residuals 2.8744e+10 595
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## $tukey.result
## Tukey multiple comparisons of means
## 95% family-wise confidence level
##
## Fit: stats::aov(formula = x$depvar ~ x$interrupt_var)
##
## $`x$interrupt_var`
## diff lwr upr p adj
## 1-0 7228.838 1080.522 13377.15 0.0162732
## 2-0 28394.977 22787.720 34002.23 0.0000000
## 2-1 21166.139 17836.497 24495.78 0.0000000
##
##
## $data
## depvar interrupt_var lag_depvar
## 2 19269.29 0 16010.00
## 3 24139.00 0 19269.29
## 4 23816.14 0 24139.00
## 5 26510.14 0 23816.14
## 6 23456.71 0 26510.14
## 7 24276.71 0 23456.71
## 8 18818.71 0 24276.71
## 9 18517.14 0 18818.71
## 10 15475.29 0 18517.14
## 11 16365.29 0 15475.29
## 12 12621.29 0 16365.29
## 13 12679.86 0 12621.29
## 14 13440.71 0 12679.86
## 15 15382.86 0 13440.71
## 16 13459.71 0 15382.86
## 17 14644.14 0 13459.71
## 18 13927.00 0 14644.14
## 19 22034.57 0 13927.00
## 20 20986.00 0 22034.57
## 21 20390.57 0 20986.00
## 22 22554.14 0 20390.57
## 23 21782.57 0 22554.14
## 24 22529.57 0 21782.57
## 25 24642.71 0 22529.57
## 26 17692.29 0 24642.71
## 27 19668.29 0 17692.29
## 28 28640.00 0 19668.29
## 29 28706.00 0 28640.00
## 30 28331.57 0 28706.00
## 31 25617.86 0 28331.57
## 32 27223.29 0 25617.86
## 33 31622.57 0 27223.29
## 34 32021.43 0 31622.57
## 35 33634.57 0 32021.43
## 36 30784.86 0 33634.57
## 37 34770.57 0 30784.86
## 38 38443.00 1 34770.57
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## 278 61395.43 2 63285.29
## 279 67969.43 2 61395.43
## 280 60792.57 2 67969.43
## 281 56859.14 2 60792.57
## 282 44899.43 2 56859.14
## 283 43064.14 2 44899.43
## 284 62790.29 2 43064.14
## 285 69120.71 2 62790.29
## 286 69589.43 2 69120.71
## 287 66633.29 2 69589.43
## 288 65588.57 2 66633.29
## 289 70168.57 2 65588.57
## 290 74644.71 2 70168.57
## 291 52891.00 2 74644.71
## 292 41560.57 2 52891.00
## 293 34704.86 2 41560.57
## 294 46520.00 2 34704.86
## 295 50231.00 2 46520.00
## 296 49216.71 2 50231.00
## 297 76914.86 2 49216.71
## 298 83720.71 2 76914.86
## 299 84485.00 2 83720.71
## 300 89765.00 2 84485.00
## 301 87702.86 2 89765.00
## 302 82013.86 2 87702.86
## 303 85982.43 2 82013.86
## 304 57248.43 2 85982.43
## 305 52968.43 2 57248.43
## 306 52601.86 2 52968.43
## 307 45493.29 2 52601.86
## 308 42298.86 2 45493.29
## 309 46423.71 2 42298.86
## 310 37898.00 2 46423.71
## 311 36435.14 2 37898.00
## 312 30209.57 2 36435.14
## 313 34541.86 2 30209.57
## 314 33604.71 2 34541.86
## 315 37990.71 2 33604.71
## 316 35683.43 2 37990.71
## 317 65201.86 2 35683.43
## 318 62730.57 2 65201.86
## 319 64589.14 2 62730.57
## 320 73744.86 2 64589.14
## 321 76477.71 2 73744.86
## 322 105647.43 2 76477.71
## 323 103790.29 2 105647.43
## 324 76122.29 2 103790.29
## 325 74746.14 2 76122.29
## 326 72865.71 2 74746.14
## 327 63652.57 2 72865.71
## 328 60358.29 2 63652.57
## 329 25957.14 2 60358.29
## 330 30178.43 2 25957.14
## 331 30681.57 2 30178.43
## 332 33337.29 2 30681.57
## 333 32582.71 2 33337.29
## 334 39184.43 2 32582.71
## 335 40415.71 2 39184.43
## 336 34975.43 2 40415.71
## 337 34076.14 2 34975.43
## 338 34221.14 2 34076.14
## 339 28862.57 2 34221.14
## 340 35729.86 2 28862.57
## 341 36489.29 2 35729.86
## 342 36785.14 2 36489.29
## 343 37787.71 2 36785.14
## 344 39832.14 2 37787.71
## 345 41917.86 2 39832.14
## 346 41633.57 2 41917.86
## 347 33557.00 2 41633.57
## 348 22759.57 2 33557.00
## 349 28877.86 2 22759.57
## 350 27574.00 2 28877.86
## 351 27104.71 2 27574.00
## 352 24376.14 2 27104.71
## 353 29732.29 2 24376.14
## 354 34030.00 2 29732.29
## 355 39139.71 2 34030.00
## 356 37066.57 2 39139.71
## 357 38509.29 2 37066.57
## 358 40957.29 2 38509.29
## 359 49423.00 2 40957.29
## 360 50053.29 2 49423.00
## 361 50284.14 2 50053.29
## 362 53103.86 2 50284.14
## 363 50223.00 2 53103.86
## 364 49587.14 2 50223.00
## 365 41167.71 2 49587.14
## 366 37958.71 2 41167.71
## 367 33582.29 2 37958.71
## 368 31039.43 2 33582.29
## 369 26526.57 2 31039.43
## 370 34869.43 2 26526.57
## 371 37487.43 2 34869.43
## 372 46514.43 2 37487.43
## 373 39613.43 2 46514.43
## 374 38980.57 2 39613.43
## 375 37306.14 2 38980.57
## 376 36771.29 2 37306.14
## 377 26317.00 2 36771.29
## 378 31580.71 2 26317.00
## 379 23626.57 2 31580.71
## 380 33035.71 2 23626.57
## 381 44864.57 2 33035.71
## 382 48946.14 2 44864.57
## 383 46969.57 2 48946.14
## 384 49249.57 2 46969.57
## 385 56370.14 2 49249.57
## 386 67228.71 2 56370.14
## 387 59457.29 2 67228.71
## 388 53124.71 2 59457.29
## 389 52814.14 2 53124.71
## 390 61262.00 2 52814.14
## 391 61861.14 2 61262.00
## 392 71784.71 2 61861.14
## 393 59313.29 2 71784.71
## 394 61107.00 2 59313.29
## 395 60603.43 2 61107.00
## 396 60012.57 2 60603.43
## 397 58280.43 2 60012.57
## 398 56862.71 2 58280.43
## 399 41704.43 2 56862.71
## 400 51533.00 2 41704.43
## 401 50388.71 2 51533.00
## 402 49205.29 2 50388.71
## 403 56533.29 2 49205.29
## 404 47996.14 2 56533.29
## 405 47207.57 2 47996.14
## 406 45292.00 2 47207.57
## 407 40343.43 2 45292.00
## 408 39004.86 2 40343.43
## 409 36788.43 2 39004.86
## 410 30027.57 2 36788.43
## 411 39040.14 2 30027.57
## 412 42390.14 2 39040.14
## 413 36291.14 2 42390.14
## 414 30668.29 2 36291.14
## 415 47693.00 2 30668.29
## 416 52094.43 2 47693.00
## 417 56592.57 2 52094.43
## 418 47971.43 2 56592.57
## 419 43762.43 2 47971.43
## 420 42246.71 2 43762.43
## 421 46352.43 2 42246.71
## 422 33094.86 2 46352.43
## 423 32784.86 2 33094.86
## 424 26212.43 2 32784.86
## 425 32611.57 2 26212.43
## 426 42144.86 2 32611.57
## 427 50034.86 2 42144.86
## 428 46332.00 2 50034.86
## 429 42976.29 2 46332.00
## 430 39456.29 2 42976.29
## 431 39328.29 2 39456.29
## 432 35296.14 2 39328.29
## 433 30875.43 2 35296.14
## 434 27709.00 2 30875.43
## 435 29513.29 2 27709.00
## 436 31630.43 2 29513.29
## 437 29346.14 2 31630.43
## 438 34916.86 2 29346.14
## 439 42020.86 2 34916.86
## 440 38303.00 2 42020.86
## 441 37966.43 2 38303.00
## 442 41408.14 2 37966.43
## 443 38988.14 2 41408.14
## 444 43555.29 2 38988.14
## 445 38114.00 2 43555.29
## 446 27847.86 2 38114.00
## 447 26517.00 2 27847.86
## 448 39518.29 2 26517.00
## 449 39153.71 2 39518.29
## 450 45623.14 2 39153.71
## 451 40627.43 2 45623.14
## 452 41027.71 2 40627.43
## 453 42882.86 2 41027.71
## 454 47139.43 2 42882.86
## 455 35547.57 2 47139.43
## 456 41099.00 2 35547.57
## 457 35859.57 2 41099.00
## 458 44524.57 2 35859.57
## 459 48554.29 2 44524.57
## 460 51554.29 2 48554.29
## 461 47810.29 2 51554.29
## 462 50490.00 2 47810.29
## 463 50720.71 2 50490.00
## 464 52720.71 2 50720.71
## 465 52145.57 2 52720.71
## 466 55515.57 2 52145.57
## 467 52457.00 2 55515.57
## 468 58239.57 2 52457.00
## 469 50523.57 2 58239.57
## 470 47788.57 2 50523.57
## 471 46170.00 2 47788.57
## 472 42305.57 2 46170.00
## 473 46605.57 2 42305.57
## 474 55149.57 2 46605.57
## 475 48769.57 2 55149.57
## 476 50719.43 2 48769.57
## 477 44753.71 2 50719.43
## 478 42898.00 2 44753.71
## 479 46141.14 2 42898.00
## 480 34022.57 2 46141.14
## 481 26651.86 2 34022.57
## 482 28791.86 2 26651.86
## 483 31879.00 2 28791.86
## 484 33584.71 2 31879.00
## 485 34690.43 2 33584.71
## 486 27410.43 2 34690.43
## 487 41755.00 2 27410.43
## 488 49379.57 2 41755.00
## 489 57198.86 2 49379.57
## 490 51144.57 2 57198.86
## 491 56677.43 2 51144.57
## 492 65416.43 2 56677.43
## 493 69779.71 2 65416.43
## 494 54046.00 2 69779.71
## 495 43259.57 2 54046.00
## 496 40998.57 2 43259.57
## 497 41368.57 2 40998.57
## 498 42274.29 2 41368.57
## 499 35962.71 2 42274.29
## 500 38709.00 2 35962.71
## 501 44778.14 2 38709.00
## 502 51282.43 2 44778.14
## 503 52094.86 2 51282.43
## 504 52221.43 2 52094.86
## 505 45011.43 2 52221.43
## 506 46545.43 2 45011.43
## 507 42263.00 2 46545.43
## 508 45417.43 2 42263.00
## 509 45034.71 2 45417.43
## 510 37840.57 2 45034.71
## 511 39135.43 2 37840.57
## 512 38191.14 2 39135.43
## 513 39456.86 2 38191.14
## 514 42479.14 2 39456.86
## 515 34282.57 2 42479.14
## 516 28878.43 2 34282.57
## 517 56227.14 2 28878.43
## 518 65569.43 2 56227.14
## 519 69751.29 2 65569.43
## 520 62171.71 2 69751.29
## 521 63705.14 2 62171.71
## 522 79257.86 2 63705.14
## 523 87244.71 2 79257.86
## 524 58568.00 2 87244.71
## 525 52695.29 2 58568.00
## 526 48911.00 2 52695.29
## 527 53924.00 2 48911.00
## 528 53358.86 2 53924.00
## 529 42121.14 2 53358.86
## 530 47835.71 2 42121.14
## 531 62329.29 2 47835.71
## 532 56056.86 2 62329.29
## 533 59946.43 2 56056.86
## 534 64511.57 2 59946.43
## 535 61137.43 2 64511.57
## 536 55448.71 2 61137.43
## 537 47964.43 2 55448.71
## 538 46425.71 2 47964.43
## 539 55512.00 2 46425.71
## 540 55226.29 2 55512.00
## 541 46709.14 2 55226.29
## 542 49254.71 2 46709.14
## 543 49056.29 2 49254.71
## 544 49850.57 2 49056.29
## 545 39145.71 2 49850.57
## 546 29799.43 2 39145.71
## 547 34769.86 2 29799.43
## 548 44061.57 2 34769.86
## 549 43829.14 2 44061.57
## 550 45782.00 2 43829.14
## 551 38924.57 2 45782.00
## 552 49242.43 2 38924.57
## 553 50565.00 2 49242.43
## 554 38864.43 2 50565.00
## 555 49786.71 2 38864.43
## 556 58787.86 2 49786.71
## 557 58060.86 2 58787.86
## 558 62179.43 2 58060.86
## 559 57333.86 2 62179.43
## 560 70797.00 2 57333.86
## 561 89901.71 2 70797.00
## 562 78558.14 2 89901.71
## 563 65466.00 2 78558.14
## 564 70525.00 2 65466.00
## 565 68377.86 2 70525.00
## 566 69736.29 2 68377.86
## 567 60085.86 2 69736.29
## 568 41757.00 2 60085.86
## 569 49780.29 2 41757.00
## 570 56540.29 2 49780.29
## 571 57894.29 2 56540.29
## 572 60270.29 2 57894.29
## 573 61011.00 2 60270.29
## 574 57721.43 2 61011.00
## 575 71741.00 2 57721.43
## 576 59576.00 2 71741.00
## 577 52390.29 2 59576.00
## 578 61092.29 2 52390.29
## 579 62814.00 2 61092.29
## 580 54908.29 2 62814.00
## 581 62082.00 2 54908.29
## 582 57017.71 2 62082.00
## 583 53634.43 2 57017.71
## 584 69169.00 2 53634.43
## 585 52488.14 2 69169.00
## 586 60895.57 2 52488.14
## 587 59856.57 2 60895.57
## 588 52670.00 2 59856.57
## 589 51874.57 2 52670.00
## 590 52190.57 2 51874.57
## 591 41562.43 2 52190.57
## 592 44764.14 2 41562.43
## 593 38612.71 2 44764.14
## 594 43473.14 2 38612.71
## 595 53505.00 2 43473.14
## 596 45870.86 2 53505.00
## 597 52578.00 2 45870.86
## 598 55300.00 2 52578.00
## 599 61789.71 2 55300.00
## 600 57391.71 2 61789.71
##
## $alpha
## [1] 0.05
##
## $itsa.result
## [1] "Significant variation between time periods with chosen alpha"
##
## $group.means
## interrupt_var count mean s.d.
## 1 0 37 22066.04 6308.636
## 2 1 120 29463.10 9187.258
## 3 2 443 50629.24 15159.479
##
## $dependent
## [1] 19269.29 24139.00 23816.14 26510.14 23456.71 24276.71 18818.71
## [8] 18517.14 15475.29 16365.29 12621.29 12679.86 13440.71 15382.86
## [15] 13459.71 14644.14 13927.00 22034.57 20986.00 20390.57 22554.14
## [22] 21782.57 22529.57 24642.71 17692.29 19668.29 28640.00 28706.00
## [29] 28331.57 25617.86 27223.29 31622.57 32021.43 33634.57 30784.86
## [36] 34770.57 38443.00 35073.00 31422.29 30103.29 19319.29 27926.29
## [43] 30715.43 31962.29 39790.14 39211.57 44548.57 49398.00 41039.00
## [50] 34821.29 29123.57 21275.71 28476.14 24561.86 20323.57 25370.00
## [57] 26811.86 27151.86 27623.29 22896.57 41889.29 44000.14 38558.00
## [64] 43373.86 49001.00 61213.29 58939.57 42046.86 39191.71 42646.43
## [71] 36121.57 30915.57 20273.43 23938.29 19274.29 21662.29 15819.00
## [78] 18126.14 17240.71 16127.71 13917.14 15379.86 19510.14 24567.29
## [85] 25700.43 25729.00 26435.00 31157.14 29818.43 30962.43 28746.71
## [92] 27830.71 28252.14 28717.57 21365.43 24816.86 16838.57 15529.14
## [99] 13286.29 13629.43 14404.86 19524.86 18475.71 22495.00 22254.57
## [106] 24173.29 27466.43 24602.43 20531.14 20846.43 23875.71 36312.71
## [113] 34244.00 36347.43 39779.71 42018.71 39372.57 33444.00 29255.86
## [120] 31640.14 29671.14 31023.71 39723.43 39314.14 38239.86 34649.43
## [127] 36688.43 42867.57 42226.86 32155.14 33603.00 37254.43 33145.57
## [134] 31299.43 30252.00 26310.71 27929.86 27666.14 25017.57 27335.00
## [141] 25760.71 18436.86 21906.00 19418.14 22826.14 23444.29 25264.86
## [148] 25473.29 27366.86 28855.86 32326.86 27141.43 26297.71 23499.14
## [155] 30246.29 39931.86 38020.43 35004.00 40750.86 42363.29 46273.57
## [162] 41083.29 35711.29 41921.71 60583.29 63115.57 61300.14 57666.43
## [169] 55834.00 58927.71 57810.57 48987.14 52219.29 56503.57 56545.00
## [176] 64705.57 53833.29 50114.00 39592.43 29907.29 33923.29 45489.00
## [183] 44866.29 51680.57 58257.00 70600.57 76648.00 69430.14 69651.57
## [190] 77745.14 72795.86 67670.71 55357.86 48524.00 50154.43 45111.57
## [197] 36147.00 43501.57 41472.43 41058.00 41605.57 49382.86 59558.57
## [204] 59134.57 61109.00 63004.43 67344.29 78180.86 69117.86 55597.57
## [211] 49426.14 39119.43 35636.86 39201.14 27777.00 47207.00 55587.29
## [218] 56619.71 82679.86 91259.57 93552.71 102242.71 91884.00 85013.86
## [225] 84535.29 80700.43 79740.57 85163.14 86724.86 80355.00 74875.14
## [232] 81347.00 66062.43 56946.43 47732.14 38129.71 42928.29 45392.57
## [239] 37895.43 30660.29 42430.86 35845.14 40350.43 31494.71 30013.29
## [246] 34197.57 37430.14 26932.43 33729.86 38081.43 44028.00 47139.71
## [253] 46558.86 58350.57 78380.00 78168.29 70510.86 72207.14 67881.00
## [260] 69536.43 62390.71 50113.14 45565.57 45805.29 41348.57 51426.86
## [267] 47160.57 51907.43 49751.43 54407.43 54746.29 61634.57 58926.43
## [274] 69999.29 63044.86 63285.29 61395.43 67969.43 60792.57 56859.14
## [281] 44899.43 43064.14 62790.29 69120.71 69589.43 66633.29 65588.57
## [288] 70168.57 74644.71 52891.00 41560.57 34704.86 46520.00 50231.00
## [295] 49216.71 76914.86 83720.71 84485.00 89765.00 87702.86 82013.86
## [302] 85982.43 57248.43 52968.43 52601.86 45493.29 42298.86 46423.71
## [309] 37898.00 36435.14 30209.57 34541.86 33604.71 37990.71 35683.43
## [316] 65201.86 62730.57 64589.14 73744.86 76477.71 105647.43 103790.29
## [323] 76122.29 74746.14 72865.71 63652.57 60358.29 25957.14 30178.43
## [330] 30681.57 33337.29 32582.71 39184.43 40415.71 34975.43 34076.14
## [337] 34221.14 28862.57 35729.86 36489.29 36785.14 37787.71 39832.14
## [344] 41917.86 41633.57 33557.00 22759.57 28877.86 27574.00 27104.71
## [351] 24376.14 29732.29 34030.00 39139.71 37066.57 38509.29 40957.29
## [358] 49423.00 50053.29 50284.14 53103.86 50223.00 49587.14 41167.71
## [365] 37958.71 33582.29 31039.43 26526.57 34869.43 37487.43 46514.43
## [372] 39613.43 38980.57 37306.14 36771.29 26317.00 31580.71 23626.57
## [379] 33035.71 44864.57 48946.14 46969.57 49249.57 56370.14 67228.71
## [386] 59457.29 53124.71 52814.14 61262.00 61861.14 71784.71 59313.29
## [393] 61107.00 60603.43 60012.57 58280.43 56862.71 41704.43 51533.00
## [400] 50388.71 49205.29 56533.29 47996.14 47207.57 45292.00 40343.43
## [407] 39004.86 36788.43 30027.57 39040.14 42390.14 36291.14 30668.29
## [414] 47693.00 52094.43 56592.57 47971.43 43762.43 42246.71 46352.43
## [421] 33094.86 32784.86 26212.43 32611.57 42144.86 50034.86 46332.00
## [428] 42976.29 39456.29 39328.29 35296.14 30875.43 27709.00 29513.29
## [435] 31630.43 29346.14 34916.86 42020.86 38303.00 37966.43 41408.14
## [442] 38988.14 43555.29 38114.00 27847.86 26517.00 39518.29 39153.71
## [449] 45623.14 40627.43 41027.71 42882.86 47139.43 35547.57 41099.00
## [456] 35859.57 44524.57 48554.29 51554.29 47810.29 50490.00 50720.71
## [463] 52720.71 52145.57 55515.57 52457.00 58239.57 50523.57 47788.57
## [470] 46170.00 42305.57 46605.57 55149.57 48769.57 50719.43 44753.71
## [477] 42898.00 46141.14 34022.57 26651.86 28791.86 31879.00 33584.71
## [484] 34690.43 27410.43 41755.00 49379.57 57198.86 51144.57 56677.43
## [491] 65416.43 69779.71 54046.00 43259.57 40998.57 41368.57 42274.29
## [498] 35962.71 38709.00 44778.14 51282.43 52094.86 52221.43 45011.43
## [505] 46545.43 42263.00 45417.43 45034.71 37840.57 39135.43 38191.14
## [512] 39456.86 42479.14 34282.57 28878.43 56227.14 65569.43 69751.29
## [519] 62171.71 63705.14 79257.86 87244.71 58568.00 52695.29 48911.00
## [526] 53924.00 53358.86 42121.14 47835.71 62329.29 56056.86 59946.43
## [533] 64511.57 61137.43 55448.71 47964.43 46425.71 55512.00 55226.29
## [540] 46709.14 49254.71 49056.29 49850.57 39145.71 29799.43 34769.86
## [547] 44061.57 43829.14 45782.00 38924.57 49242.43 50565.00 38864.43
## [554] 49786.71 58787.86 58060.86 62179.43 57333.86 70797.00 89901.71
## [561] 78558.14 65466.00 70525.00 68377.86 69736.29 60085.86 41757.00
## [568] 49780.29 56540.29 57894.29 60270.29 61011.00 57721.43 71741.00
## [575] 59576.00 52390.29 61092.29 62814.00 54908.29 62082.00 57017.71
## [582] 53634.43 69169.00 52488.14 60895.57 59856.57 52670.00 51874.57
## [589] 52190.57 41562.43 44764.14 38612.71 43473.14 53505.00 45870.86
## [596] 52578.00 55300.00 61789.71 57391.71
##
## $interrupt_var
## [1] 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
## [38] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [75] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [112] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [149] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [186] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [223] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [260] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [297] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [334] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [371] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [408] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [445] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [482] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [519] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [556] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [593] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## Levels: 0 1 2
##
## $residuals
## 2 3 4 5 6
## 1962.863073 4016.365514 -514.207138 2458.760154 -2922.440627
## 7 8 9 10 11
## 535.898709 -5630.628838 -1216.171788 -3997.453730 -479.112779
## 12 13 14 15 16
## -4992.124385 -1698.519863 -988.271831 296.446337 -3304.820562
## 17 18 19 20 21
## -458.685050 -2199.242871 6527.981569 -1526.001686 -1215.403742
## 22 23 24 25 26
## 1462.652497 -1178.370099 235.312355 1703.003898 -7073.302631
## 27 28 29 30 31
## 908.270670 8172.606379 486.525017 55.068619 -2335.117670
## 32 33 34 35 36
## 1615.117397 4627.219736 1224.838932 2493.346090 -1750.217161
## 37 38 39 40 41
## 4697.815506 4356.773185 -2186.418044 -2925.256923 -1089.828096
## 42 43 44 45 46
## -10734.135615 7190.865688 2543.061474 1379.937462 8130.437735
## 47 48 49 50 51
## 788.143843 6625.063105 6863.014214 -5686.173262 -4681.226857
## 52 53 54 55 56
## -5006.475470 -7931.177092 6050.255103 -4085.618409 -4941.734299
## 57 58 59 60 61
## 3766.818884 848.269127 -57.579049 120.069808 -5013.986099
## 62 63 64 65 66
## 18062.883404 3762.934125 -3503.111700 6015.072430 7481.035472
## 67 68 69 70 71
## 14831.143472 2005.306208 -12922.787095 -1181.645297 4740.077971
## 72 73 74 75 76
## -4769.852634 -4337.997724 -10481.854714 2378.430934 -5452.218142
## 77 78 79 80 81
## 965.748297 -6940.907884 415.172649 -2463.761129 -2811.699502
## 82 83 84 85 86
## -4060.574394 -687.798216 2178.617541 3666.954050 430.432244
## 87 88 89 90 91
## -520.097461 161.215168 4273.333088 -1145.586436 1155.140331
## 92 93 94 95 96
## -2049.056289 -1050.550669 162.355016 263.644865 -7490.655265
## 97 98 99 100 101
## 2313.451044 -8647.069085 -3062.796184 -4174.231115 -1893.129636
## 102 103 104 105 106
## -1414.196390 3035.788362 -2437.331375 2488.474602 -1224.849882
## 107 108 109 110 111
## 901.608630 2536.871089 -3172.595290 -4769.218937 -936.106295
## 112 113 114 115 116
## 1820.754280 11640.275772 -1174.727664 2716.190003 4330.991466
## 117 118 119 120 121
## 3604.297590 -976.471094 -4618.621659 -3684.135038 2318.948951
## 122 123 124 125 126
## -1710.212157 1343.689443 8874.703586 948.360282 227.721157
## 127 128 129 130 131
## -2434.462265 2706.876209 7124.204836 1144.352829 -8373.747163
## 132 133 134 135 136
## 1776.655124 4177.051171 -3086.851983 -1382.704019 -834.958115
## 137 138 139 140 141
## -3871.204809 1153.437438 -509.310161 -2930.017156 1675.930705
## 142 143 144 145 146
## -1900.747669 -7864.330671 1933.049426 -3552.348301 2005.304527
## 147 148 149 150 151
## -321.262226 965.197931 -399.452776 1314.024281 1166.868769
## 152 153 154 155 156
## 3351.286431 -4833.287404 -1196.490731 -3266.044094 5899.226750
## 157 158 159 160 161
## 9754.875522 -3399.707093 -4764.550546 3588.675788 235.486561
## 162 163 164 165 166
## 2752.540494 -5816.458812 -6703.751000 4148.397063 17443.798098
## 167 168 169 170 171
## 3851.404020 -152.066241 -2217.144975 -909.833705 3767.205119
## 172 173 174 175 176
## -23.086268 -7881.238634 2974.858129 4466.385001 805.942294
## 177 178 179 180 181
## 8930.717035 -8992.775579 -3317.776014 -10625.668926 -11219.563983
## 182 183 184 185 186
## 1164.961032 9260.618453 -1355.543605 5996.803359 6685.293952
## 187 188 189 190 191
## 13346.449766 8728.316889 -3714.869195 2743.206470 10645.450774
## 192 193 194 195 196
## -1297.149955 -2145.822974 -10030.259511 -6225.094130 1310.183269
## 197 198 199 200 201
## -5141.458698 -9748.709149 5351.771798 -3032.147223 -1693.278707
## 202 203 204 205 206
## -787.616963 6516.535287 9972.223755 755.816581 3096.605737
## 207 208 209 210 211
## 3286.013537 5988.110489 13074.793703 -5351.632362 -11040.960565
## 212 213 214 215 216
## -5530.078315 -10504.320469 -5081.293127 1492.136236 -13011.756151
## 217 218 219 220 221
## 16289.365698 7881.004778 1672.380567 26840.445274 12902.685052
## 222 223 224 225 226
## 7782.457278 14491.048883 -3376.329286 -1295.942358 4161.688002
## 227 228 229 230 231
## 740.344324 3094.026114 9345.969770 6222.267918 -1497.000923
## 232 233 234 235 236
## -1472.932143 9733.839317 -11142.791949 -7052.035970 -8389.569099
## 237 238 239 240 241
## -10030.320530 3065.305975 1383.347733 -8243.080871 -9000.257583
## 242 243 244 245 246
## 9021.896799 -7734.273710 2461.451015 -10287.091363 -4116.669299
## 247 248 249 250 251
## 1347.656600 964.762549 -12326.080890 3541.981527 2020.180526
## 252 253 254 255 256
## 4206.741917 2180.273681 -1089.285035 11204.323503 21045.027197
## 257 258 259 260 261
## 3526.725233 -3947.769919 4364.978091 -1426.853981 3966.612868
## 262 263 264 265 266
## -4609.487693 -10712.747639 -4651.785447 -482.705760 -5146.547088
## 267 268 269 270 271
## 8782.598189 -4191.910765 4241.264613 -2016.295202 4502.613812
## 272 273 274 275 276
## 818.416980 7413.910475 -1246.110652 12166.738949 -4355.280245
## 277 278 279 280 281
## 1894.177859 -203.423510 8003.522643 -4853.651688 -2585.859543
## 282 283 284 285 286
## -11146.863466 -2648.262562 18663.673570 7949.570906 2948.427841
## 287 288 289 290 291
## -412.711337 1096.853215 6579.546935 7098.304224 -18523.057036
## 292 293 294 295 296
## -11057.015091 -8122.582104 9616.295420 3118.326899 -1102.477995
## 297 298 299 300 301
## 27472.066532 10345.122189 5228.752699 9848.365525 3223.996511
## 302 303 304 305 306
## -683.192489 8201.004812 -23962.071017 -3414.228896 -82.632152
## 307 308 309 310 311
## -6874.464611 -3926.675282 2958.353373 -9131.476661 -3227.622304
## 312 313 314 315 316
## -8189.200338 1522.340076 -3158.148843 2037.596925 -4059.447108
## 317 318 319 320 321
## 27452.610107 -524.309498 3469.596083 11019.396886 5841.185999
## 322 323 324 325 326
## 32649.553250 5588.085865 -20475.235021 2055.378431 1364.017083
## 327 328 329 330 331
## -6224.326453 -1557.922521 -33112.611505 833.256364 -2311.036404
## 332 333 334 335 336
## -90.066721 -3139.329283 4114.378471 -358.599754 -6862.787720
## 337 338 339 340 341
## -3061.351126 -2139.316125 -7623.175961 3874.226181 -1300.078300
## 342 343 344 345 346
## -1660.411478 -913.477776 264.670948 583.880403 -1502.583392
## 347 348 349 350 351
## -9333.515480 -13152.318023 2295.572059 -4294.838706 -3637.516245
## 352 353 354 355 356
## -5960.597606 1753.189180 1422.885465 2819.125408 -3669.106875
## 357 358 359 360 361
## -435.076951 766.334251 7116.834591 432.252284 118.506024
## 362 363 364 365 366
## 2738.746352 -2578.507433 -725.136960 -8595.148090 -4529.273610
## 367 368 369 370 371
## -6132.940110 -4894.309203 -7209.990329 5032.237060 441.524734
## 372 373 374 375 376
## 7206.420932 -7494.430493 -2164.423486 -3292.026790 -2380.080557
## 377 378 379 380 381
## -12372.218686 1924.604641 -10577.692572 5704.290929 9403.103061
## 382 383 384 385 386
## 3263.856030 -2239.429780 1748.442545 6898.961769 11604.946602
## 387 388 389 390 391
## -5548.917310 -5166.523832 -5.386357 8710.822509 2010.526951
## 392 393 394 395 396
## 11416.404210 -9629.565486 2940.186232 886.741653 730.999424
## 397 398 399 400 401
## -490.608601 -411.651022 -14344.949388 8581.259840 -1055.481491
## 402 403 404 405 406
## -1250.180855 7100.370051 -7768.589715 -1180.574695 -2414.774684
## 407 408 409 410 411
## -5708.181325 -2770.900100 -3830.725341 -8676.459680 6177.884343
## 412 413 414 415 416
## 1740.500041 -7253.094206 -7606.061703 14277.127192 3968.215454
## 417 418 419 420 421
## 4663.268812 -7844.530295 -4604.362976 -2483.257206 2932.122111
## 422 423 424 425 426
## -13873.024528 -2727.714083 -9032.284679 3045.817562 7049.872797
## 427 428 429 430 431
## 6702.561160 -3817.713479 -3973.944486 -4594.412765 -1680.928660
## 432 433 434 435 436
## -5602.472095 -6539.181151 -5885.856248 -1345.592645 -787.457265
## 437 438 439 440 441
## -4901.077169 2643.392427 4933.972270 -4922.152793 -2046.280073
## 442 443 444 445 446
## 1686.251443 -3707.589265 2950.573914 -6436.988052 -12001.544543
## 447 448 449 450 451
## -4461.858982 9689.364473 -1909.071683 4875.367742 -5710.307955
## 452 453 454 455 456
## -993.435425 515.837365 3169.457796 -12100.323876 3467.141413
## 457 458 459 460 461
## -6569.043340 6623.126750 3165.778602 2683.871799 -3652.302154
## 462 463 464 465 466
## 2262.445225 177.730987 1978.380466 -324.878360 3542.078418
## 467 468 469 470 471
## -2428.368418 5996.986074 -6715.490938 -2783.419531 -2038.792373
## 472 473 474 475 476
## -4504.681378 3134.408983 7962.959651 -5799.551767 1662.995316
## 477 478 479 480 481
## -5987.508602 -2688.499827 2158.087775 -12762.747134 -9662.313018
## 482 483 484 485 486
## -1153.588490 84.470281 -877.285868 -1245.407630 -9480.808886
## 487 488 489 490 491
## 11154.104668 6384.134622 7615.348517 -5195.253450 5568.857603
## 492 493 494 495 496
## 9527.148213 6339.431203 -13164.414942 -10356.002063 -3296.902334
## 497 498 499 500 501
## -973.267231 -387.254400 -7481.415488 718.433912 4414.626671
## 502 503 504 505 506
## 5674.821042 867.169610 291.755644 -7027.609409 736.248658
## 507 508 509 510 511
## -4871.644862 1983.050309 -1125.273170 -7988.728692 -477.714974
## 512 513 514 515 516
## -2540.832341 -459.200444 1469.434736 -9338.566795 -7660.396666
## 517 518 519 520 521
## 24357.810404 10069.221180 6178.801760 -5014.136722 3068.481059
## 522 523 524 525 526
## 17296.224145 11844.634331 -23733.187638 -4827.557982 -3537.478028
## 527 528 529 530 531
## 4745.364258 -151.301274 -10900.699362 4523.908820 14079.759179
## 532 533 534 535 536
## -4715.955506 4593.357911 5797.685520 -1521.005473 -4294.264683
## 537 538 539 540 541
## -6863.171398 -1935.028856 8480.795223 344.003218 -7926.265929
## 542 543 544 545 546
## 1978.610788 -419.339100 546.400405 -10844.765651 -10941.434080
## 547 548 549 550 551
## 2104.727286 7101.703079 -1159.305408 994.383497 -7550.426880
## 552 553 554 555 556
## 8692.646171 1099.990755 -11743.359076 9288.898801 8852.553480
## 557 558 559 560 561
## 348.044127 5094.785710 -3309.470245 14340.527293 21812.305500
## 562 563 564 565 566
## -6038.846845 -9329.486239 7041.884328 523.472129 3737.156629
## 567 568 569 570 571
## -7087.032996 -17077.360279 6783.120792 6610.536710 2123.504737
## 572 573 574 575 576
## 3329.570226 2017.282741 -1912.308780 14949.643106 -9329.079523
## 577 578 579 580 581
## -6003.528430 8907.345371 3110.027078 -6283.348183 7721.361653
## 582 583 584 585 586
## -3541.429167 -2548.878375 15909.048088 -14194.579530 8626.076840
## 587 588 589 590 591
## 322.571056 -5966.244127 -552.058276 451.238132 -10449.947048
## 592 593 594 595 596
## 1935.098931 -6982.796432 3192.823111 9024.988140 -7277.260979
## 597 598 599 600
## 6026.223967 2952.863630 7090.612082 -2914.877362
##
## $fitted.values
## 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
## 17306.42 20122.63 24330.35 24051.38 26379.15 23740.82 24449.34 19733.31
## 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
## 19472.74 16844.40 17613.41 14378.38 14428.99 15086.41 16764.53 15102.83
## 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
## 16126.24 15506.59 22512.00 21605.98 21091.49 22960.94 22294.26 22939.71
## 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33
## 24765.59 18760.02 20467.39 28219.47 28276.50 27952.97 25608.17 26995.35
## 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41
## 30796.59 31141.23 32535.07 30072.76 34086.23 37259.42 34347.54 31193.11
## 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
## 30053.42 20735.42 28172.37 30582.35 31659.71 38423.43 37923.51 42534.99
## 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57
## 46725.17 39502.51 34130.05 29206.89 22425.89 28647.48 25265.31 21603.18
## 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65
## 25963.59 27209.44 27503.22 27910.56 23826.40 40237.21 42061.11 37358.78
## 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73
## 41519.96 46382.14 56934.27 54969.64 40373.36 37906.35 40891.42 35253.57
## 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81
## 30755.28 21559.85 24726.50 20696.54 22759.91 17710.97 19704.48 18939.41
## 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89
## 17977.72 16067.66 17331.53 20900.33 25270.00 26249.10 26273.78 26883.81
## 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97
## 30964.02 29807.29 30795.77 28881.26 28089.79 28453.93 28856.08 22503.41
## 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105
## 25485.64 18591.94 17460.52 15522.56 15819.05 16489.07 20913.05 20006.53
## 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113
## 23479.42 23271.68 24929.56 27775.02 25300.36 21782.53 22054.96 24672.44
## 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121
## 35418.73 33631.24 35448.72 38414.42 40349.04 38062.62 32939.99 29321.19
## 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129
## 31381.36 29680.02 30848.72 38365.78 38012.14 37083.89 33981.55 35743.37
## 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137
## 41082.50 40528.89 31826.34 33077.38 36232.42 32682.13 31086.96 30181.92
## 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145
## 26776.42 28175.45 27947.59 25659.07 27661.46 26301.19 19972.95 22970.49
## 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153
## 20820.84 23765.55 24299.66 25872.74 26052.83 27688.99 28975.57 31974.72
## 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161
## 27494.21 26765.19 24347.06 30176.98 41420.14 39768.55 37162.18 42127.80
## 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169
## 43521.03 46899.74 42415.04 37773.32 43139.49 59264.17 61452.21 59883.57
## 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177
## 56743.83 55160.51 57833.66 56868.38 49244.43 52037.19 55739.06 55774.85
## 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185
## 62826.06 53431.78 50218.10 41126.85 32758.32 36228.38 46221.83 45683.77
## 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193
## 51571.71 57254.12 67919.68 73145.01 66908.36 67099.69 74093.01 69816.54
## 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201
## 65388.12 54749.09 48844.25 50253.03 45895.71 38149.80 44504.58 42751.28
## 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209
## 42393.19 42866.32 49586.35 58378.75 58012.39 59718.42 61356.18 65106.06
## 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217
## 74469.49 66638.53 54956.22 49623.75 40718.15 37709.01 40788.76 30917.63
## 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225
## 47706.28 54947.33 55839.41 78356.89 85770.26 87751.67 95260.33 86309.80
## 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233
## 80373.60 79960.08 76646.55 75817.17 80502.59 81852.00 76348.07 71613.16
## 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241
## 77205.22 63998.46 56121.71 48160.03 39862.98 44009.22 46138.51 39660.54
## 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249
## 33408.96 43579.42 37888.98 41781.81 34129.96 32849.91 36465.38 39258.51
## 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257
## 30187.88 36061.25 39821.26 44959.44 47648.14 47146.25 57334.97 74641.56
## 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265
## 74458.63 67842.16 69307.85 65569.82 67000.20 60825.89 50217.36 46287.99
## 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273
## 46495.12 42644.26 51352.48 47666.16 51767.72 49904.81 53927.87 54220.66
## 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281
## 60172.54 57832.55 67400.14 61391.11 61598.85 59965.91 65646.22 59445.00
## 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289
## 56046.29 45712.41 44126.61 61171.14 66641.00 67046.00 64491.72 63589.02
## 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297
## 67546.41 71414.06 52617.59 42827.44 36903.70 47112.67 50319.19 49442.79
## 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305
## 73375.59 79256.25 79916.63 84478.86 82697.05 77781.42 81210.50 56382.66
## 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313
## 52684.49 52367.75 46225.53 43465.36 47029.48 39662.77 38398.77 33019.52
## 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321
## 36762.86 35953.12 39742.88 37749.25 63254.88 61119.55 62725.46 70636.53
## 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329
## 72997.88 98202.20 96597.52 72690.76 71501.70 69876.90 61916.21 59069.75
## 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337
## 29345.17 32992.61 33427.35 35722.04 35070.05 40774.31 41838.22 37137.49
## 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345
## 36360.46 36485.75 31855.63 37789.36 38445.55 38701.19 39567.47 41333.98
## 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353
## 43136.15 42890.52 35911.89 26582.29 31868.84 30742.23 30336.74 27979.10
## 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361
## 32607.11 36320.59 40735.68 38944.36 40190.95 42306.17 49621.03 50165.64
## 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369
## 50365.11 52801.51 50312.28 49762.86 42487.99 39715.23 35933.74 33736.56
## 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 377
## 29837.19 37045.90 39308.01 47107.86 41144.99 40598.17 39151.37 38689.22
## 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385
## 29656.11 34204.26 27331.42 35461.47 45682.29 49209.00 47501.13 49471.18
## 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393
## 55623.77 65006.20 58291.24 52819.53 52551.18 59850.62 60368.31 68942.85
## 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401
## 58166.81 59716.69 59281.57 58771.04 57274.37 56049.38 42951.74 51444.20
## 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409
## 50455.47 49432.92 55764.73 48388.15 47706.77 46051.61 41775.76 40619.15
## 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417
## 38704.03 32862.26 40649.64 43544.24 38274.35 33415.87 48126.21 51929.30
## 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 425
## 55815.96 48366.79 44729.97 43420.31 46967.88 35512.57 35244.71 29565.75
## 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433
## 35094.98 43332.30 50149.71 46950.23 44050.70 41009.21 40898.61 37414.61
## 434 435 436 437 438 439 440 441
## 33594.86 30858.88 32417.89 34247.22 32273.46 37086.88 43225.15 40012.71
## 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449
## 39721.89 42695.73 40604.71 44550.99 39849.40 30978.86 29828.92 41062.79
## 450 451 452 453 454 455 456 457
## 40747.78 46337.74 42021.15 42367.02 43969.97 47647.90 37631.86 42428.61
## 458 459 460 461 462 463 464 465
## 37901.44 45388.51 48870.41 51462.59 48227.55 50542.98 50742.33 52470.45
## 466 467 468 469 470 471 472 473
## 51973.49 54885.37 52242.59 57239.06 50571.99 48208.79 46810.25 43471.16
## 474 475 476 477 478 479 480 481
## 47186.61 54569.12 49056.43 50741.22 45586.50 43983.06 46785.32 36314.17
## 482 483 484 485 486 487 488 489
## 29945.45 31794.53 34462.00 35935.84 36891.24 30600.90 42995.44 49583.51
## 490 491 492 493 494 495 496 497
## 56339.82 51108.57 55889.28 63440.28 67210.41 53615.57 44295.47 42341.84
## 498 499 500 501 502 503 504 505
## 42661.54 43444.13 37990.57 40363.52 45607.61 51227.69 51929.67 52039.04
## 506 507 508 509 510 511 512 513
## 45809.18 47134.64 43434.38 46159.99 45829.30 39613.14 40731.98 39916.06
## 514 515 516 517 518 519 520 521
## 41009.71 43621.14 36538.83 31869.33 55500.21 63572.48 67185.85 60636.66
## 522 523 524 525 526 527 528 529
## 61961.63 75400.08 82301.19 57522.84 52448.48 49178.64 53510.16 53021.84
## 530 531 532 533 534 535 536 537
## 43311.81 48249.53 60772.81 55353.07 58713.89 62658.43 59742.98 54827.60
## 538 539 540 541 542 543 544 545
## 48360.74 47031.20 54882.28 54635.41 47276.10 49475.62 49304.17 49990.48
## 546 547 548 549 550 551 552 553
## 40740.86 32665.13 36959.87 44988.45 44787.62 46475.00 40549.78 49465.01
## 554 555 556 557 558 559 560 561
## 50607.79 40497.82 49935.30 57712.81 57084.64 60643.33 56456.47 68089.41
## 562 563 564 565 566 567 568 569
## 84596.99 74795.49 63483.12 67854.39 65999.13 67172.89 58834.36 42997.16
## 570 571 572 573 574 575 576 577
## 49929.75 55770.78 56940.72 58993.72 59633.74 56791.36 68905.08 58393.81
## 578 579 580 581 582 583 584 585
## 52184.94 59703.97 61191.63 54360.64 60559.14 56183.31 53259.95 66682.72
## 586 587 588 589 590 591 592 593
## 52269.49 59534.00 58636.24 52426.63 51739.33 52012.38 42829.04 45595.51
## 594 595 596 597 598 599 600
## 40280.32 44480.01 53148.12 46551.78 52347.14 54699.10 60306.59
##
## $shapiro.test
## [1] 0
##
## $levenes.test
## [1] 0
##
## $autcorr
## [1] "No autocorrelation evidence"
##
## $post_sums
## [1] "Post-Est Warning"
##
## $adjr_sq
## [1] 0.8346
##
## $fstat.bootstrap
##
## ORDINARY NONPARAMETRIC BOOTSTRAP
##
##
## Call:
## boot::boot(data = x, statistic = f.stat, R = Reps, formula = depvar ~
## ., parallel = parr)
##
##
## Bootstrap Statistics :
## original bias std. error
## t1* 7.026085 0.5481617 3.477884
## t2* 1744.381493 23.3654948 217.680967
## WARNING: All values of t3* are NA
##
## $itsa.plot
##
## $booted.ints
## Parameter Lower CI Median F-value Upper CI
## 1 interrupt_var 2.654515 7.135615 13.7961
## 2 lag_depvar 1432.642745 1755.815099 2150.1487
Ahora con las tendencias descompuestas
require(zoo)
require(scales)
Gastos_casa %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha2=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(gastador=ifelse(gastador=="Andrés",1,0)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(treat=ifelse(fecha2>"2019-W26",1,0)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(gasto= dplyr::case_when(gasto=="Gas"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="aspiradora"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Plata fiestas patrias basureros"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="Tina"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Nexium"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="donaciones"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="Regalo chocolates"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="filtro piscina msp"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Chromecast"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Muebles ratan"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Vacuna Influenza"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Easy"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Sopapo"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="filtro agua"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="ropa tami"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="yaz"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Yaz"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Remedio"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Entel"~"VTR",
gasto=="Kerosen"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="Parafina"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="Plata basurero"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="Matri Andrés Kogan"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="Wild Protein"~"Comida",
gasto=="Granola Wild Foods"~"Comida",
gasto=="uber"~"Transporte",
gasto=="Uber Reñaca"~"Transporte",
gasto=="filtro piscina mspa"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Limpieza Alfombra"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Aspiradora"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Limpieza alfombras"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Pila estufa"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Reloj"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Arreglo"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Pan Pepperino"~"Comida",
gasto=="Cookidoo"~"Comida",
gasto=="remedios"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Bendina Reñaca"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="Bencina Reñaca"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="Vacunas Influenza"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Remedios"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Plata fiestas patrias basureros"~"donaciones/regalos",
T~gasto)) %>%
dplyr::group_by(gastador, fecha,gasto, .drop=F) %>%
#dplyr::mutate(fecha_simp=week(parse_date(fecha))) %>%
# dplyr::mutate(fecha_simp=tsibble::yearweek(fecha)) %>%#después de diosi. Junio 24, 2019
dplyr::summarise(monto=sum(monto)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(gastador_nombre=plyr::revalue(as.character(gastador), c("0" = "Tami", "1"="Andrés"))) %>%
ggplot2::ggplot(aes(x = fecha, y = monto, color=as.factor(gastador_nombre))) +
#stat_summary(geom = "line", fun.y = median, size = 1, alpha=0.5, aes(color="blue")) +
geom_line(size=1) +
facet_grid(gasto~.)+
#geom_text(aes(x = fech_ing_qrt, y = perc_dup-0.05, label = paste0(n)), vjust = -1,hjust = 0, angle=45, size=3) +
geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2019-06-24"),linetype = "dashed") +
labs(y="Gastos (en miles)",x="Semanas y Meses", subtitle="Interlineado, incorporación de la Diosi; Azul= Tami; Rojo= Andrés") +
ggtitle( "Figura 6. Gastos Semanales por Gastador e ítem (media)") +
scale_y_continuous(labels = f <- function(x) paste0(x/1000)) +
scale_color_manual(name = "Gastador", values= c("blue", "red"), labels = c("Tami", "Andrés")) +
scale_x_yearweek(breaks = "1 month", minor_breaks = "1 week", labels=date_format("%m/%y")) +
guides(color = F)+
sjPlot::theme_sjplot2() +
theme(axis.text.x = element_text(vjust = 0.5,angle = 35)) +
theme(
panel.border = element_blank(),
panel.grid.major = element_blank(),
panel.grid.minor = element_blank(),
axis.line = element_line(colour = "black")
)
autoplot(forecast::mstl(Gastos_casa$monto, lambda = "auto",iterate=5000000,start =
lubridate::decimal_date(as.Date("2019-03-03"))))
# scale_x_continuous(breaks = seq(0,400,by=30))
msts <- forecast::msts(Gastos_casa$monto,seasonal.periods = c(7,30.5,365.25),start =
lubridate::decimal_date(as.Date("2019-03-03")))
#tbats <- forecast::tbats(msts,use.trend = FALSE)
#plot(tbats, main="Multiple Season Decomposition")
library(bsts)
library(CausalImpact)
ts_week_covid<-
Gastos_casa %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha_week=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(day=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "day"))))%>%
dplyr::group_by(fecha_week)%>%
dplyr::summarise(gasto_total=sum(monto,na.rm=T)/1000,min_day=min(day))%>%
dplyr::ungroup() %>%
dplyr::mutate(covid=dplyr::case_when(min_day>=as.Date("2020-03-17")~1,TRUE~0))%>%
dplyr::mutate(covid=as.factor(covid))%>%
data.frame()
ts_week_covid$gasto_total_na<-ts_week_covid$gasto_total
post_resp<-ts_week_covid$gasto_total[which(ts_week_covid$covid==1)]
ts_week_covid$gasto_total_na[which(ts_week_covid$covid==1)]<-NA
ts_week_covid$gasto_total[which(ts_week_covid$covid==0)]
## [1] 98.357 4.780 56.784 50.506 64.483 67.248 49.299 35.786 58.503
## [10] 64.083 20.148 73.476 127.004 81.551 69.599 134.446 58.936 26.145
## [19] 129.927 104.989 130.860 81.893 95.697 64.579 303.471 151.106 49.275
## [28] 76.293 33.940 83.071 119.512 20.942 58.055 71.728 44.090 33.740
## [37] 59.264 77.410 60.831 63.376 48.754 235.284 29.604 115.143 72.419
## [46] 5.980 80.063 149.178 69.918 107.601 72.724 63.203 99.681 130.309
## [55] 195.898 112.066
# Model 1
ssd <- list()
# Local trend, weekly-seasonal #https://qastack.mx/stats/209426/predictions-from-bsts-model-in-r-are-failing-completely - PUSE UN GENERALIZED LOCAL TREND
ssd <- AddLocalLevel(ssd, ts_week_covid$gasto_total_na) #AddSemilocalLinearTrend #AddLocalLevel
# Add weekly seasonal
ssd <- AddSeasonal(ssd, ts_week_covid$gasto_total_na,nseasons=5, season.duration = 52) #weeks OJO, ESTOS NO SON WEEKS VERDADEROS. PORQUE TENGO MAS DE EUN AÑO
ssd <- AddSeasonal(ssd, ts_week_covid$gasto_total_na, nseasons = 12, season.duration =4) #years
# For example, to add a day-of-week component to data with daily granularity, use model.args = list(nseasons = 7, season.duration = 1). To add a day-of-week component to data with hourly granularity, set model.args = list(nseasons = 7, season.duration = 24).
model1d1 <- bsts(ts_week_covid$gasto_total_na,
state.specification = ssd, #A list with elements created by AddLocalLinearTrend, AddSeasonal, and similar functions for adding components of state. See the help page for state.specification.
family ="student", #A Bayesian Analysis of Time-Series Event Count Data. POISSON NO SE PUEDE OCUPAR
niter = 20000,
#burn = 200, #http://finzi.psych.upenn.edu/library/bsts/html/SuggestBurn.html Suggest the size of an MCMC burn in sample as a proportion of the total run.
seed= 2125)
## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 0 Mon Jul 17 01:13:39 2023
## =-=-=-=-=
## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 2000 Mon Jul 17 01:13:49 2023
## =-=-=-=-=
## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 4000 Mon Jul 17 01:14:00 2023
## =-=-=-=-=
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## =-=-=-=-=
## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 8000 Mon Jul 17 01:14:21 2023
## =-=-=-=-=
## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 10000 Mon Jul 17 01:14:31 2023
## =-=-=-=-=
## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 12000 Mon Jul 17 01:14:42 2023
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## =-=-=-=-=
#,
# dynamic.regression=T)
#plot(model1d1, main = "Model 1")
#plot(model1d1, "components")
impact2d1 <- CausalImpact(bsts.model = model1d1,
post.period.response = post_resp)
plot(impact2d1)+
xlab("Date")+
ylab("Monto Semanal (En miles)")
burn1d1 <- SuggestBurn(0.1, model1d1)
corpus <- Corpus(VectorSource(Gastos_casa$obs)) # formato de texto
d <- tm_map(corpus, tolower)
d <- tm_map(d, stripWhitespace)
d <- tm_map(d, removePunctuation)
d <- tm_map(d, removeNumbers)
d <- tm_map(d, removeWords, stopwords("spanish"))
d <- tm_map(d, removeWords, "menos")
tdm <- TermDocumentMatrix(d)
m <- as.matrix(tdm) #lo vuelve una matriz
v <- sort(rowSums(m),decreasing=TRUE) #lo ordena y suma
df <- data.frame(word = names(v),freq=v) # lo nombra y le da formato de data.frame
#findFreqTerms(tdm)
#require(devtools)
#install_github("lchiffon/wordcloud2")
#wordcloud2::wordcloud2(v, size=1.2)
wordcloud(words = df$word, freq = df$freq,
max.words=100, random.order=FALSE, rot.per=0.35,
colors=brewer.pal(8, "Dark2"), main="Figura 7. Nube de Palabras, Observaciones")
fit_month_gasto <- Gastos_casa %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha_month=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-%m")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(day=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "day"))))%>%
dplyr::mutate(gasto2= dplyr::case_when(gasto=="Gas"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="aspiradora"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Plata fiestas patrias basureros"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="Tina"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Nexium"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="donaciones"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="Regalo chocolates"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="filtro piscina msp"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Chromecast"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Muebles ratan"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Vacuna Influenza"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Easy"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Sopapo"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="filtro agua"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="ropa tami"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="yaz"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Yaz"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Remedio"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Entel"~"VTR",
gasto=="Kerosen"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="Parafina"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="Plata basurero"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="Matri Andrés Kogan"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="Wild Protein"~"Comida",
gasto=="Granola Wild Foods"~"Comida",
gasto=="uber"~"Otros",
gasto=="Uber Reñaca"~"Otros",
gasto=="filtro piscina mspa"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Limpieza Alfombra"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Aspiradora"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Limpieza alfombras"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Pila estufa"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Reloj"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Arreglo"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Pan Pepperino"~"Comida",
gasto=="Cookidoo"~"Comida",
gasto=="remedios"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Bendina Reñaca"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="Bencina Reñaca"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="Vacunas Influenza"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Remedios"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Plata fiestas patrias basureros"~"donaciones/regalos",
T~gasto)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha_month=factor(fecha_month, levels=format(seq(from = as.Date("2019-03-03"), to = as.Date(substr(Sys.time(),1,10)), by = "1 month"),"%Y-%m")))%>%
dplyr::mutate(gasto2=factor(gasto2, levels=c("Agua", "Comida", "Comunicaciones","Electricidad", "Enceres", "Farmacia", "Gas/Bencina", "Diosi", "donaciones/regalos", "Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa", "VTR", "Netflix", "Otros")))%>%
dplyr::group_by(fecha_month, gasto2, .drop=F)%>%
dplyr::summarise(gasto_total=sum(monto, na.rm = T)/1000)%>%
data.frame() %>% na.omit()
fit_month_gasto_23<-
fit_month_gasto %>%
#dplyr::filter()
dplyr::filter(grepl("2023",fecha_month)) %>%
#sacar el ultimo mes
dplyr::filter(as.character(format(as.Date(substr(Sys.time(),1,10)),"%Y-%m"))!=fecha_month) %>%
dplyr::group_by(gasto2) %>%
dplyr::summarise(gasto_prom=mean(gasto_total, na.rm=T)) %>%
data.frame()%>% ungroup()
fit_month_gasto_22<-
fit_month_gasto %>%
#dplyr::filter()
dplyr::filter(grepl("2022",fecha_month)) %>%
#sacar el ultimo mes
dplyr::filter(as.character(format(as.Date(substr(Sys.time(),1,10)),"%Y-%m"))!=fecha_month) %>%
dplyr::group_by(gasto2) %>%
dplyr::summarise(gasto_prom=mean(gasto_total, na.rm=T)) %>%
data.frame()%>% ungroup()
fit_month_gasto_21<-
fit_month_gasto %>%
#dplyr::filter()
dplyr::filter(grepl("2021|2022",fecha_month)) %>%
#sacar el ultimo mes
dplyr::filter(as.character(format(as.Date(substr(Sys.time(),1,10)),"%Y-%m"))!=fecha_month) %>%
dplyr::group_by(gasto2) %>%
dplyr::summarise(gasto_prom=mean(gasto_total, na.rm=T)) %>%
data.frame()%>% ungroup()
fit_month_gasto_20<-
fit_month_gasto %>%
#dplyr::filter()
dplyr::filter(grepl("202",fecha_month)) %>%
#sacar el ultimo mes
dplyr::filter(as.character(format(as.Date(substr(Sys.time(),1,10)),"%Y-%m"))!=fecha_month) %>%
dplyr::group_by(gasto2) %>%
dplyr::summarise(gasto_prom=mean(gasto_total, na.rm=T)) %>%
data.frame() %>% ungroup()
fit_month_gasto_23 %>%
dplyr::right_join(fit_month_gasto_22,by="gasto2") %>%
dplyr::right_join(fit_month_gasto_21,by="gasto2") %>%
dplyr::right_join(fit_month_gasto_20,by="gasto2") %>%
janitor::adorn_totals() %>%
#dplyr::select(-3)%>%
knitr::kable(format = "markdown", size=12, col.names= c("Item","2023","2022","2021","2020"))
| Item | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agua | 2.117667 | 5.410333 | 5.629750 | 6.3588810 |
| Comida | 331.003167 | 310.278417 | 314.087500 | 339.0315000 |
| Comunicaciones | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.0000000 |
| Electricidad | 37.639167 | 47.072333 | 38.297667 | 33.1484286 |
| Enceres | 26.875333 | 20.086417 | 17.443792 | 24.9535000 |
| Farmacia | 3.330000 | 1.831667 | 7.913875 | 9.0084286 |
| Gas/Bencina | 32.671333 | 44.325000 | 28.954333 | 26.1436190 |
| Diosi | 13.981667 | 31.180667 | 41.934250 | 36.5659048 |
| donaciones/regalos | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 7.170083 | 6.5409286 |
| Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa | 0.000000 | 3.944000 | 30.269500 | 19.7492381 |
| VTR | 10.996667 | 25.156667 | 22.121792 | 19.6730476 |
| Netflix | 4.753333 | 7.151583 | 7.090167 | 7.0869286 |
| Otros | 0.000000 | 3.151083 | 1.575542 | 0.9003095 |
| Total | 463.368333 | 499.588167 | 522.488250 | 529.1607143 |
## Joining with `by = join_by(word)`
Saqué la UF proyectada
#options(max.print=5000)
uf18 <-rvest::read_html("https://www.sii.cl/valores_y_fechas/uf/uf2018.htm")%>% rvest::html_nodes("table")
uf19 <-rvest::read_html("https://www.sii.cl/valores_y_fechas/uf/uf2019.htm")%>% rvest::html_nodes("table")
uf20 <-rvest::read_html("https://www.sii.cl/valores_y_fechas/uf/uf2020.htm")%>% rvest::html_nodes("table")
uf21 <-rvest::read_html("https://www.sii.cl/valores_y_fechas/uf/uf2021.htm")%>% rvest::html_nodes("table")
uf22 <-rvest::read_html("https://www.sii.cl/valores_y_fechas/uf/uf2022.htm")%>% rvest::html_nodes("table")
tryCatch(uf23 <-rvest::read_html("https://www.sii.cl/valores_y_fechas/uf/uf2023.htm")%>% rvest::html_nodes("table"),
error = function(c) {
uf23b <<- cbind.data.frame(Día=NA, variable=NA, value=NA)
}
)
tryCatch(uf23 <-uf23[[length(uf23)]] %>% rvest::html_table() %>% data.frame() %>% reshape2::melt(id.vars=1),
error = function(c) {
uf23 <<- cbind.data.frame(Día=NA, variable=NA, value=NA)
}
)
uf_serie<-
bind_rows(
cbind.data.frame(anio= 2018, uf18[[length(uf18)]] %>% rvest::html_table() %>% data.frame() %>% reshape2::melt(id.vars=1)),
cbind.data.frame(anio= 2019, uf19[[length(uf19)]] %>% rvest::html_table() %>% data.frame() %>% reshape2::melt(id.vars=1)),
cbind.data.frame(anio= 2020, uf20[[length(uf20)]] %>% rvest::html_table() %>% data.frame() %>% reshape2::melt(id.vars=1)),
cbind.data.frame(anio= 2021, uf21[[length(uf21)]] %>% rvest::html_table() %>% data.frame() %>% reshape2::melt(id.vars=1)),
cbind.data.frame(anio= 2022, uf22[[length(uf22)]] %>% rvest::html_table() %>% data.frame() %>% reshape2::melt(id.vars=1)),
cbind.data.frame(anio= 2023, uf23)
)
uf_serie_corrected<-
uf_serie %>%
dplyr::mutate(month=plyr::revalue(tolower(.[[3]]),c("ene" = 1, "feb"=2, "mar"=3, "abr"=4, "may"=5, "jun"=6, "jul"=7, "ago"=8, "sep"=9, "oct"=10, "nov"=11, "dic"=12))) %>%
dplyr::mutate(value=stringr::str_trim(value), value= sub("\\.","",value),value= as.numeric(sub("\\,",".",value))) %>%
dplyr::mutate(date=paste0(sprintf("%02d", .[[2]])," ",sprintf("%02d",as.numeric(month)),", ",.[[1]]), date3=lubridate::parse_date_time(date,c("%d %m, %Y"),exact=T),date2=date3) %>%
na.omit()#%>% dplyr::filter(is.na(date3))
## Warning: There was 1 warning in `dplyr::mutate()`.
## i In argument: `date3 = lubridate::parse_date_time(date, c("%d %m, %Y"), exact
## = T)`.
## Caused by warning:
## ! 41 failed to parse.
#Day of the month as decimal number (1–31), with a leading space for a single-digit number.
#Abbreviated month name in the current locale on this platform. (Also matches full name on input: in some locales there are no abbreviations of names.)
warning(paste0("number of observations:",nrow(uf_serie_corrected),", min uf: ",min(uf_serie_corrected$value),", min date: ",min(uf_serie_corrected $date3 )))
## Warning: number of observations:2047, min uf: 26799.01, min date: 2018-01-01
#
# uf_proyectado <- readxl::read_excel("uf_proyectado.xlsx") %>% dplyr::arrange(Período) %>%
# dplyr::mutate(Período= as.Date(lubridate::parse_date_time(Período, c("%Y-%m-%d"),exact=T)))
ts_uf_proy<-
ts(data = uf_serie_corrected$value,
start = as.numeric(as.Date("2018-01-01")),
end = as.numeric(as.Date(uf_serie_corrected$date3[length(uf_serie_corrected$date3)])), frequency = 1,
deltat = 1, ts.eps = getOption("ts.eps"))
fit_tbats <- forecast::tbats(ts_uf_proy)
fr_fit_tbats<-forecast::forecast(fit_tbats, h=298)
La proyección de la UF a 298 días más 2023-08-09 00:04:58 sería de: 35.814 pesos// Percentil 95% más alto proyectado: 38.854,25
Ahora con un modelo ARIMA automático
arima_optimal_uf = forecast::auto.arima(ts_uf_proy)
autoplotly::autoplotly(forecast::forecast(arima_optimal_uf, h=298), ts.colour = "darkred",
predict.colour = "blue", predict.linetype = "dashed")%>%
plotly::layout(showlegend = F,
yaxis = list(title = "Gastos"),
xaxis = list(
title="Fecha",
ticktext = as.list(seq(from = as.Date("2018-01-01"),
to = as.Date("2018-01-01")+length(fit_tbats$fitted.values)+298, by = 90)),
tickvals = as.list(seq(from = as.numeric(as.Date("2018-01-01")),
to = as.numeric(as.Date("2018-01-01"))+length(fit_tbats$fitted.values)+298, by = 90)),
tickmode = "array",
tickangle = 90
))
fr_fit_tbats_uf<-forecast::forecast(arima_optimal_uf, h=298)
dplyr::group_by(reshape2::melt(data.frame(fr_fit_tbats)),variable) %>% dplyr::summarise(max=max(value)) %>%
dplyr::right_join(dplyr::group_by(reshape2::melt(data.frame(fr_fit_tbats_uf)),variable) %>% dplyr::summarise(max=max(value)),by="variable") %>%
dplyr::mutate(variable=factor(variable,levels=c("Lo.95","Lo.80","Point.Forecast","Hi.80","Hi.95"))) %>%
dplyr::arrange(variable) %>%
knitr::kable(format="markdown", caption="Tabla. Estimación UF (de aquí a 298 días) según cálculos de gastos mensuales",
col.names= c("Item","UF Proyectada (TBATS)","UF Proyectada (ARIMA)"))
## No id variables; using all as measure variables
## No id variables; using all as measure variables
| Item | UF Proyectada (TBATS) | UF Proyectada (ARIMA) |
|---|---|---|
| Lo.95 | 36023.74 | 36023.33 |
| Lo.80 | 36024.45 | 36024.17 |
| Point.Forecast | 36025.79 | 36025.77 |
| Hi.80 | 37530.25 | 40092.81 |
| Hi.95 | 38471.93 | 42612.10 |
Lo haré en base a 2 cálculos: el gasto semanal y el gasto mensual en base a mis gastos desde marzo de 2019. La primera proyección la hice añadiendo el precio del arriendo mensual y partiendo en 2 (porque es con yo y Tami). No se incluye el último mes.
Gastos_casa_nvo <- readr::read_csv(as.character(path_sec),
col_names = c("Tiempo", "gasto", "fecha", "obs", "monto", "gastador",
"link"),skip=1) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha_month=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-%m")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(day=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "day"))))
Gastos_casa_m <-
Gastos_casa_nvo %>% dplyr::group_by(fecha_month)%>%
dplyr::summarise(gasto_total=(sum(monto)+500000)/1000,fecha=first(fecha))%>%
data.frame()
uf_serie_corrected_m <-
uf_serie_corrected %>% dplyr::mutate(ano_m=paste0(anio,"-",sprintf("%02d",as.numeric(month)))) %>% dplyr::group_by(ano_m)%>%
dplyr::summarise(uf=(mean(value))/1000,fecha=first(date3))%>%
data.frame() %>%
dplyr::filter(fecha>="2019-02-28")
#Error: Error in standardise_path(file) : object 'enlace_gastos' not found
ts_uf_serie_corrected_m<-
ts(data = uf_serie_corrected_m$uf[-length(uf_serie_corrected_m$uf)],
start = 1,
end = nrow(uf_serie_corrected_m),
frequency = 1,
deltat = 1, ts.eps = getOption("ts.eps"))
ts_gastos_casa_m<-
ts(data = Gastos_casa_m$gasto_total[-length(Gastos_casa_m$gasto_total)],
start = 1,
end = nrow(Gastos_casa_m),
frequency = 1,
deltat = 1, ts.eps = getOption("ts.eps"))
fit_tbats_m <- forecast::tbats(ts_gastos_casa_m)
seq_dates<-format(seq(as.Date("2019/03/01"), by = "month", length = dim(Gastos_casa_m)[1]+12), "%m\n'%y")
autplo2t<-
autoplotly::autoplotly(forecast::forecast(fit_tbats_m, h=12), ts.colour = "darkred",
predict.colour = "blue", predict.linetype = "dashed")%>%
plotly::layout(showlegend = F,
yaxis = list(title = "Gastos (en miles)"),
xaxis = list(
title="Fecha",
ticktext = as.list(seq_dates[seq(from = 1, to = (dim(Gastos_casa_m)[1]+12), by = 3)]),
tickvals = as.list(seq(from = 1, to = (dim(Gastos_casa_m)[1]+12), by = 3)),
tickmode = "array"#"array"
))
autplo2t
Ahora asumiendo un modelo ARIMA, e incluimos como regresor al precio de la UF.
paste0("Optimo pero sin regresor")
## [1] "Optimo pero sin regresor"
arima_optimal = forecast::auto.arima(ts_gastos_casa_m)
arima_optimal
## Series: ts_gastos_casa_m
## ARIMA(1,0,0) with non-zero mean
##
## Coefficients:
## ar1 mean
## 0.3585 1000.613
## s.e. 0.1334 33.721
##
## sigma^2 = 26098: log likelihood = -343.75
## AIC=693.5 AICc=693.99 BIC=699.41
paste0("Optimo pero con regresor")
## [1] "Optimo pero con regresor"
arima_optimal2 = forecast::auto.arima(ts_gastos_casa_m, xreg=as.numeric(ts_uf_serie_corrected_m[1:(length(Gastos_casa_m$gasto_total))]))
arima_optimal2
## Series: ts_gastos_casa_m
## Regression with ARIMA(1,0,0) errors
##
## Coefficients:
## ar1 intercept xreg
## 0.3496 804.4813 6.3900
## s.e. 0.1345 363.4991 11.7833
##
## sigma^2 = 26479: log likelihood = -343.6
## AIC=695.21 AICc=696.04 BIC=703.09
forecast_uf<-
cbind.data.frame(fecha=as.Date(seq(as.numeric(as.Date(uf_serie_corrected$date3[length(uf_serie_corrected$date3)])),(as.numeric(as.Date(uf_serie_corrected$date3[length(uf_serie_corrected$date3)]))+299),by=1), origin = "1970-01-01"),forecast::forecast(fit_tbats, h=300)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(ano_m=stringr::str_extract(fecha,".{7}")) %>%
dplyr::group_by(ano_m)%>%
dplyr::summarise(uf=(mean(`Hi 95`,na.rm=T))/1000,fecha=first(fecha))%>%
data.frame()
autplo2t2<-
autoplotly::autoplotly(forecast::forecast(arima_optimal2,xreg=c(forecast_uf$uf[1],forecast_uf$uf), h=12), ts.colour = "darkred",
predict.colour = "blue", predict.linetype = "dashed")%>%
plotly::layout(showlegend = F,
yaxis = list(title = "Gastos (en miles)"),
xaxis = list(
title="Fecha",
ticktext = as.list(seq_dates[seq(from = 1, to = (dim(Gastos_casa_m)[1]+12), by = 3)]),
tickvals = as.list(seq(from = 1, to = (dim(Gastos_casa_m)[1]+12), by = 3)),
tickmode = "array"#"array"
))
autplo2t2
fr_fit_tbats_m<-forecast::forecast(fit_tbats_m, h=12)
fr_fit_tbats_m2<-forecast::forecast(arima_optimal, h=12)
fr_fit_tbats_m3<-forecast::forecast(arima_optimal2, h=12,xreg=c(forecast_uf$uf[1],forecast_uf$uf))
dplyr::right_join(dplyr::group_by(reshape2::melt(data.frame(fr_fit_tbats_m3)),variable) %>% dplyr::summarise(max=max(value)), dplyr::group_by(reshape2::melt(data.frame(fr_fit_tbats_m2)),variable) %>% dplyr::summarise(max=max(value)),by="variable") %>%
dplyr::right_join(dplyr::group_by(reshape2::melt(data.frame(fr_fit_tbats_m)),variable) %>% dplyr::summarise(max=max(value)),by="variable") %>%
dplyr::mutate(variable=factor(variable,levels=c("Lo.95","Lo.80","Point.Forecast","Hi.80","Hi.95"))) %>%
dplyr::arrange(variable) %>%
knitr::kable(format="markdown", caption="Estimación en miles de la plata a gastar en el futuro (de aquí a 12 meses) según cálculos de gastos mensuales",
col.names= c("Item","Modelo ARIMA con regresor (UF)","Modelo ARIMA sin regresor","Modelo TBATS"))
## No id variables; using all as measure variables
## No id variables; using all as measure variables
## No id variables; using all as measure variables
| Item | Modelo ARIMA con regresor (UF) | Modelo ARIMA sin regresor | Modelo TBATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lo.95 | 709.9517 | 661.4355 | 654.2892 |
| Lo.80 | 827.7800 | 778.8363 | 729.7131 |
| Point.Forecast | 1050.3629 | 1000.6115 | 896.7250 |
| Hi.80 | 1272.9458 | 1222.3868 | 1209.7849 |
| Hi.95 | 1390.7741 | 1339.7875 | 1417.5933 |
path_sec2<- paste0("https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/",Sys.getenv("SUPERSECRET"),"/export?format=csv&id=",Sys.getenv("SUPERSECRET"),"&gid=847461368")
Gastos_casa_mensual_2022 <- readr::read_csv(as.character(path_sec2),
#col_names = c("Tiempo", "gasto", "fecha", "obs", "monto", "gastador","link"),
skip=0)
## Rows: 55 Columns: 4
## -- Column specification --------------------------------------------------------
## Delimiter: ","
## chr (1): mes_ano
## dbl (3): n, Tami, Andrés
##
## i Use `spec()` to retrieve the full column specification for this data.
## i Specify the column types or set `show_col_types = FALSE` to quiet this message.
head(Gastos_casa_mensual_2022,5) %>%
knitr::kable("markdown",caption="Resumen mensual, primeras 5 observaciones")
| n | mes_ano | Tami | Andrés |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | marzo_2019 | 175533 | 68268 |
| 2 | abril_2019 | 152640 | 55031 |
| 3 | mayo_2019 | 152985 | 192219 |
| 4 | junio_2019 | 291067 | 84961 |
| 5 | julio_2019 | 241389 | 205893 |
(
Gastos_casa_mensual_2022 %>%
reshape2::melt(id.var=c("n","mes_ano")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(gastador=as.factor(variable)) %>%
dplyr::select(-variable) %>%
ggplot2::ggplot(aes(x = n, y = value, color=gastador)) +
scale_color_manual(name="Gastador", values=c("red", "blue"))+
geom_line(size=1) +
#geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2019-06-24"),linetype = "dashed") +
labs(y="Gastos (en miles)",x="Meses", subtitle="Azul= Tami; Rojo= Andrés") +
ggtitle( "Gastos Mensuales (total manual)") +
scale_y_continuous(labels = f <- function(x) paste0(x/1000)) +
# scale_color_manual(name = "Gastador", values= c("blue", "red"), labels = c("Tami", "Andrés")) +
# scale_x_yearweek(breaks = "1 month", minor_breaks = "1 week", labels=date_format("%m/%y")) +
# guides(color = F)+
sjPlot::theme_sjplot2() +
theme(axis.text.x = element_text(vjust = 0.5,angle = 35)) +
theme(
panel.border = element_blank(),
panel.grid.major = element_blank(),
panel.grid.minor = element_blank(),
axis.line = element_line(colour = "black")
)
) %>% ggplotly()
Sys.getenv("R_LIBS_USER")
## [1] "D:\\a\\_temp\\Library"
sessionInfo()
## R version 4.1.2 (2021-11-01)
## Platform: x86_64-w64-mingw32/x64 (64-bit)
## Running under: Windows Server x64 (build 20348)
##
## Matrix products: default
##
## locale:
## [1] LC_COLLATE=Spanish_Chile.1252 LC_CTYPE=Spanish_Chile.1252
## [3] LC_MONETARY=Spanish_Chile.1252 LC_NUMERIC=C
## [5] LC_TIME=Spanish_Chile.1252
##
## attached base packages:
## [1] grid stats graphics grDevices utils datasets methods
## [8] base
##
## other attached packages:
## [1] CausalImpact_1.3.0 bsts_0.9.9 BoomSpikeSlab_1.2.5
## [4] Boom_0.9.11 scales_1.2.1 ggiraph_0.8.7
## [7] tidytext_0.4.1 DT_0.28 autoplotly_0.1.4
## [10] rvest_1.0.3 plotly_4.10.2 xts_0.13.1
## [13] forecast_8.21 wordcloud_2.6 RColorBrewer_1.1-3
## [16] SnowballC_0.7.1 tm_0.7-11 NLP_0.2-1
## [19] tsibble_1.1.3 lubridate_1.9.2 forcats_1.0.0
## [22] dplyr_1.1.2 purrr_1.0.1 tidyr_1.3.0
## [25] tibble_3.2.1 ggplot2_3.4.2 tidyverse_2.0.0
## [28] sjPlot_2.8.14 lattice_0.20-45 gridExtra_2.3
## [31] plotrix_3.8-2 sparklyr_1.8.2 httr_1.4.6
## [34] readxl_1.4.3 zoo_1.8-12 stringr_1.5.0
## [37] stringi_1.7.12 data.table_1.14.8 reshape2_1.4.4
## [40] fUnitRoots_4021.80 plyr_1.8.8 readr_2.1.4
##
## loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
## [1] uuid_1.1-0 backports_1.4.1 systemfonts_1.0.4
## [4] selectr_0.4-2 lazyeval_0.2.2 splines_4.1.2
## [7] crosstalk_1.2.0 digest_0.6.31 htmltools_0.5.5
## [10] fansi_1.0.4 ggfortify_0.4.16 magrittr_2.0.3
## [13] tzdb_0.4.0 modelr_0.1.11 vroom_1.6.3
## [16] timechange_0.2.0 anytime_0.3.9 tseries_0.10-54
## [19] colorspace_2.1-0 xfun_0.39 crayon_1.5.2
## [22] jsonlite_1.8.4 lme4_1.1-34 glue_1.6.2
## [25] gtable_0.3.3 emmeans_1.8.7 sjstats_0.18.2
## [28] sjmisc_2.8.9 car_3.1-2 quantmod_0.4.23
## [31] abind_1.4-5 mvtnorm_1.2-2 DBI_1.1.3
## [34] ggeffects_1.2.3 Rcpp_1.0.10 viridisLite_0.4.2
## [37] xtable_1.8-4 performance_0.10.4 bit_4.0.5
## [40] htmlwidgets_1.6.2 timeSeries_4030.106 gplots_3.1.3
## [43] ellipsis_0.3.2 spatial_7.3-14 pkgconfig_2.0.3
## [46] farver_2.1.1 nnet_7.3-16 sass_0.4.5
## [49] dbplyr_2.3.3 janitor_2.2.0 utf8_1.2.3
## [52] tidyselect_1.2.0 labeling_0.4.2 rlang_1.1.0
## [55] munsell_0.5.0 cellranger_1.1.0 tools_4.1.2
## [58] cachem_1.0.7 cli_3.6.1 generics_0.1.3
## [61] sjlabelled_1.2.0 broom_1.0.5 evaluate_0.20
## [64] fastmap_1.1.1 yaml_2.3.7 knitr_1.43
## [67] bit64_4.0.5 caTools_1.18.2 nlme_3.1-153
## [70] slam_0.1-50 xml2_1.3.3 tokenizers_0.3.0
## [73] compiler_4.1.2 rstudioapi_0.14 curl_5.0.0
## [76] bslib_0.4.2 highr_0.10 fBasics_4022.94
## [79] Matrix_1.6-0 its.analysis_1.6.0 nloptr_2.0.3
## [82] urca_1.3-3 vctrs_0.6.1 pillar_1.9.0
## [85] lifecycle_1.0.3 lmtest_0.9-40 jquerylib_0.1.4
## [88] estimability_1.4.1 bitops_1.0-7 insight_0.19.3
## [91] R6_2.5.1 KernSmooth_2.23-20 janeaustenr_1.0.0
## [94] codetools_0.2-18 assertthat_0.2.1 boot_1.3-28
## [97] MASS_7.3-54 gtools_3.9.4 withr_2.5.0
## [100] fracdiff_1.5-2 bayestestR_0.13.1 parallel_4.1.2
## [103] hms_1.1.3 quadprog_1.5-8 timeDate_4022.108
## [106] minqa_1.2.5 snakecase_0.11.0 rmarkdown_2.23
## [109] carData_3.0-5 TTR_0.24.3 base64enc_0.1-3
#save.image("__analisis.RData")
sesion_info <- devtools::session_info()
dplyr::select(
tibble::as_tibble(sesion_info$packages),
c(package, loadedversion, source)
) %>%
DT::datatable(filter = 'top', colnames = c('Row number' =1,'Variable' = 2, 'Percentage'= 3),
caption = htmltools::tags$caption(
style = 'caption-side: top; text-align: left;',
'', htmltools::em('Packages')),
options=list(
initComplete = htmlwidgets::JS(
"function(settings, json) {",
"$(this.api().tables().body()).css({
'font-family': 'Helvetica Neue',
'font-size': '50%',
'code-inline-font-size': '15%',
'white-space': 'nowrap',
'line-height': '0.75em',
'min-height': '0.5em'
});",#;
"}")))